fig1

Figure 1. Estimated total emissions from livestock (A) and emission intensity of milk production (B) for a smallholder dairy farm in Kenya. Plausible estimates of both metrics were generated through Monte Carlo simulation, based on 1000 runs of a greenhouse gas emission model, with the uncertainty introduced by specifying inputs as probability distributions. The blue line indicates a precise estimate based on precise results from a farm survey and default parameters recommended by various guidance documents.