fig4

Figure 4. Model sensitivity to uncertainty. Variation in model estimates (x-axis) of (A) annual human rabies deaths; (B) human rabies deaths averted; (C) the percentage of rabid animals confirmed; and (D) probability of rabies exposures obtaining PEP. Model parameters [Table 1] and data inputs that were varied in the sensitivity analysis are shown on the y-axis. Variations in estimates are not symmetrical around the baseline estimate (vertical gray line) because the range of uncertainty examined was not symmetric distributions centered on the baseline parameters. HDR: Human:dog ratio; PEP: post-exposure prophylaxis.